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Quantifying Volatility of Chess Games

Which affects your formula more? Going from +1 to -1 or going from +10 to +5. In my opinion, for the ideal formula the first one should have more effect. Because +10 to +5 happens all the time when someone simplifies his position and goes for the easy win rather than most "correct " one.

Which affects your formula more? Going from +1 to -1 or going from +10 to +5. In my opinion, for the ideal formula the first one should have more effect. Because +10 to +5 happens all the time when someone simplifies his position and goes for the easy win rather than most "correct " one.

@Adnan_me said in #21:

Which affects your formula more? Going from +1 to -1 or going from +10 to +5. In my opinion, for the ideal formula the first one should have more effect. Because +10 to +5 happens all the time when someone simplifies his position and goes for the easy win rather than most "correct " one.

The expected score drop from +1 to -1 is 42% and from +10 to +5 it's only 4%, so going from +1 to -1 affects the formula much more.

@Adnan_me said in #21: > Which affects your formula more? Going from +1 to -1 or going from +10 to +5. In my opinion, for the ideal formula the first one should have more effect. Because +10 to +5 happens all the time when someone simplifies his position and goes for the easy win rather than most "correct " one. The expected score drop from +1 to -1 is 42% and from +10 to +5 it's only 4%, so going from +1 to -1 affects the formula much more.

Wow! This is very nice then.

Wow! This is very nice then.

how about a=0.9 or 1.2 or 1.9

how about a=0.9 or 1.2 or 1.9